Here’s a fun fact. NHL first round winners were 45-54 in shootouts in the regular season. First round losers were 63-43. Here are the match ups (higher regular season point total first, shootout record in parentheses, winner in bold):
- Rangers (4-5) vs. Ottawa (6-4)
- Bruins (9-3) vs. Capitals (4-4)
- Devils (12-4) vs. Panthers (6-11)
- Penguins (9-3) vs. Flyers (4-7)
- Canucks (8-7) vs. Kings (6-9)
- Blues (4-10) vs. Sharks (9-5)
- Blackhawks (7-7) vs. Coyotes (6-10)
- Predators (5-5) vs. Red Wings (9-3)
So, the team with the lower shootout win percentage won seven out of eight series. The team with the higher point total only won four out of eight (Rangers, Blues, and Predators), in part because good shootout records inflated some teams’ point totals. Why do we still have shootouts again?
Posted in Common Sense, Hockey
Tagged Blackhawks, bostonbruins, Bruins, Canucks, Capitals, Chicago Blackhawks, Coyotes, Detroit Red Wings, Devils, Flyers, Kings, Nashville Predators, National Hockey League, NHL, NHL should get rid of shootouts, no more shootouts, Ottawa, Panthers, Penguins, predators, Rangers, Red Wings, Senators, Sharks, shoot outs, shootout performance, shootout performance is irrelevant, shootout records, shootouts, shootouts are dumb, shootouts bad for hockey, shootouts playoff success, shootouts reward wrong team, Sports, St. Louis Blues, Vancouver Canucks
With the NFL all wrapped up, it’s time for Hockey Night in America! A few weeks ago, I watched the extremely exciting Edmonton Oilers play my Detroit Red Wings. The Red Wings nearly got the win in regulation, but the Oilers scored with 39 seconds remaining (highlights here). Four on four overtime favored the fast skating Oilers, and Detroit needed two open net saves from defensemen to stay alive. The Wings are an excellent shootout team, but they lost this one.
The Wings are 7-2 in shootouts this year, which has earned them some extra points in the standings (shootouts fueled their record home winning streak as well). Back in December, I questioned whether these extra points are deserved. Shootouts reward individual skill that may not be related to game performance. In the interest of crowning the best team champion, maybe we’d be better off giving the Oilers and Red Wings one point each and going home at the end of overtime (the dreaded tie . . . ). But do teams that get into the playoffs with many shootout victories actually perform worse once they get there?
I started by calculating shootout-free points totals Continue reading
Posted in Hockey, Prediction, Rules Analysis, Sports Stats
Tagged Detroit, Detroit Red Wings, Edmonton Oilers, get rid of shootouts, hockey, Hockey Night in America, Hockey Night in Canada, hockey no more shootouts, National Hockey League, NHL, NHL overtime alternatives, NHL overtime rules, overtime proposals, Red Wings, Red Wings home winning streak, shootout is dumb, shootouts, shootouts lucky, shootouts not fair, Vancouver Canucks
Last night, I stayed up to watch my Red Wings take on the Canucks on the West coast. These are two of the hottest teams in hockey, led by veterans who rely on passing, puck handling, and precision (the Sedins for the Canucks, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, and Lidstrom for the Red Wings). I figured I was in for a clean game with lots of exciting plays.
You can check out some highlights on TSN. This game had it all: Continue reading
Posted in Commentary, Common Sense, Hockey
Tagged Brendan Shanahan NHL discipline, Buffalo Sabres, Cody Hodgson, Darren Helm, Detroit Red Wings, Drew Milller, Fox Sports Detroit, Henrik Zetterberg, Jannik Hansen, Jimmy Howard, Nicklas Lidstrom, Niklas Kronwall hit, Pavel Datsyuk, Roberto Luongo, Ryan Kesler, Ryan Miller, Sedin twins, Sidney Crosby concussion, Todd Bertuzzi, TSN, Valtteri Filppula, Vancouver Canucks